Thursday, 14 July 2011

2012: Black Swan election

Surprising Black Swan outfit.
"Black Swan" doesn't mean bad.
Pundits will be surprised on election day 2012. This Gallup poll of registered voters is a harbinger:  Obama 39 Generic R 47.
Instant low-cost partisan armies assembling over Facebook with tweets and web pages, US debt brinkmanship,  thirst for change and prosperity, Americans out of work for record lengths of time,  and a powerful run for the presidency by Sarah Palin (yes, she will) are going to make this election hard to predict using recent elections as the guide.

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