Saturday, 9 November 2013

Three Mid-East Blocs now. Israel siding with Saudis and the US nowhere to be seen.

Jonathan Spyer describes the post Pax Americana scene in the Mid East.  A quote from Turkey sets the scene:
“Turkish officials believe Saudi Arabia, along with Jordan and the United Arab Emirates, are strategically working against the interests of two different regional blocs: Hezbollah, Syria, Iran and Iraq on one front, and Turkey, Qatar, Hamas, and the Muslim Brotherhood on the other.”

Bloc One:  Iran, Iraq, Syria and Hezbollah with Shia influence.
Block Two:  Turkey, Hamas and the Muslim Brotherhood with Sunni influence.
Block Three:   The Arab kingdoms  (Sunni chiefly) with Saudis pre-eminent and Qatar absent.
      Israel is inclined to Bloc 3.  America is invisible.  Egypt is in limbo.  Russia is gaining points.
      All players are going to be making regional choices without worrying about "the west".

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