Wednesday 17 August 2022


 



















When truth has no champion, this isn't funny.  hat tip to @curtegerer, Instapundit comments.

Google doesn't just misdirect. Google completely hides most search results. Try it yourself in the next three minutes.

From "Bright Insight"s 14 minute Rumble Video.
Google and Bing searches routinely give result tallies in the millions
but when you seek them, they're not there.
A controversial topic search like "climate change" has over a billion results
but after a few dozen pages, you hit a blank.
Click on the "see more results" button and a few more pages appear.
Somewhere around page 45, you hit the second blank and there is no way forward.
Mostly mainstream media results populate the pages you found and the other billion
cannot be reached.

This didn't use to be the case.
I remember going into the hundreds some years ago out of curiosity.
A more independent engine like BRAVE doesn't post the number of results.
It's entirely reasonable to truncate the results for the average person
but wrong to hide postings and knowledge beyond that wall.


 

Friday 12 August 2022

When everybody's lying, whom do you trust?

Massive shedding of trust is here.
When we go from sceptic to cynic, we believe nothing.
Government dignitaries,  hospital mandarins, scientist oracles,  billionaire CEO's,  fact checker pontifs and more have lost  gravitas and even lost all respect.

When we go from sceptic to cynic, we believe nothing we read or hear.
This makes us pawns in games others play
because we don't make timely distinctions between people in conflict, we fail to establish the relative value of one choice over another.  The somewhat good guys are tarred by the somewhat evil guys brush.
And this makes us less dangerous to hard-ball players.  While we harden ourselves somewhat against every claim, we become vulnerable to any bullldozer doctrine or scam that pushes hard.
The cynic's bubble is only shelter from small noxious affronts.

What touchstone will you use for truth, or to determine a degree of truth, or even to make an interim decision to trust someone until you get a better picture of what's happening?   This has always been a key question but today it faces us urgently.

The internet has brought this forward.  What people really said in private is often quickly heard in public and their hidden deeds from past years may be published promptly today.   There is a lot of falseness, spin, and (in my view) evil doing.  The same flood of news, mostly curated, may also bring cures to the problem.

I insist of hearing and seeing video of controversial statements and want it to be at least a few minutes long so I can evaluate the context and look for edits.  I look to see what other people have said that triangulate with or oppose the controversial statement.    On sites which promote thoughtful commentary written in paragraphs, I read sometimes hundreds of observations to get a better understanding.  And thenb settle on a view.  Even with this, I'm often blindsided and proven wrong, because some much of the information is data spun to entice and deceive.  But it's all I've got and I'm sticking with it.


Supernova near-miss didn't happen but Betelgeuse is pulsing oddly

 From spaceweather.com
Some scientists were worried about Betelgeuse going supernova but it did't make the main news feeds.(I don't see how to link individual spaceweather stories and hence have included the bulk of it.)


WHAT JUST HAPPENED TO BETELGEUSE? You've heard of a CME, a "coronal mass ejection." They happen all the time. A piece of the sun's tenuous outer atmosphere (corona) blows off and sometimes hits Earth. Something far more terrible just happened to Betegeuse. The red giant star produced an SME, or "surface mass ejection."


Above: An artist's concept of an SME on Betelgeuse. Credit: Elizabeth Wheatley (STScI)

NASA astronomers believe that in 2019 a colossal piece of Betelgeuse's surface blew off the star. The mass of the SME was 400 billion times greater than a CME or several times the mass of Earth's Moon. Data from multiple telescopes, especially Hubble, suggest that a convective plume more than a million miles across bubbled up from deep inside the star, producing shocks and pulsations that blasted a chunk off the surface.

"We've never before seen such a huge mass ejection from the surface of a star," says Andrea Dupree of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, who is leading the study. "Something is going on that we don't completely understand."

After it left the star, the SME cooled, forming a dark cloud that famously dimmed Betelgeuse in 2019 and 2020. Even casual sky watchers could look up and see the change. Some astronomers worried that the dimming foreshadowed a supernova explosion. The realization that an SME is responsible has at least temporarily calmed those fears.


Above: A Hubble image of Betelgeuse located in the shoulder of Orion.

Betelgeuse's brightness has since returned to normal, but something strange is still going on. Astronomers have long known that Betelgeuse is a variable star with a 430-day period. Its metronome-like change in brightness has been observed for more than 200 years. As Betelgeuse recovers, however, those pulsations are no longer regular: See the data. Spectra taken by Hubble and the Tillinghast telescope in Arizona imply that years later the surface of Betelgeuse is still bouncing like a plate of gelatin dessert--a testament to the ferocity of the blowout.

Betelgeuse is so large that if it replaced the sun at the center of our solar system, its atmosphere would extend past Jupiter. Dupree used Hubble to resolve hot spots on the star's surface in 1996. This was the first direct image of a star other than the sun.

What's happening now "is a totally new phenomenon that we can observe directly and resolve surface details with Hubble," says Dupree. "We're watching stellar evolution in real time."

Thursday 11 August 2022

Asteroid alarms from the Daily Mail

If you want to know what's daily really zooming past earth, check spaceweather.com 
If you prefer exciting meteor stories, try the Daily Mail.
In the current week there are bigger and faster and nearer meteors on the way!




Thursday 28 July 2022

Interest is an information bridge connecting the present with the future.

 From John Mauldin's free newsletter which you can subscribe to.

"Intertemporal Bridge

As I explained earlier in this series (see Time Has a Price), interest rates aren’t simply prices; they are information. Artificially manipulated rates deliver wrong information, causing poor decisions. Ill-conceived central bank policies produce random noise, preventing markets from discerning the necessary signals. Chancellor has possibly the best metaphor I’ve ever seen to explain this.

“Imagine that the present and future are two countries, separated by a river. Finance is the intertemporal bridge that joins them together, connecting the present with the future. By acts of borrowing and lending, and saving and investing, we shift expenditures across time. Interest is the toll levied on borrowers for bringing forward consumption and the fee paid to savers for moving consumption into the future. The level of interest regulates the traffic on the bridge and its general direction. When the interest toll is raised spending is pushed into the future, and consumption is brought forward when the toll is lowered. In an ideal world, people should save enough to meet their future needs, but not so much that current spending is depressed. Under such circumstances, the traffic across the bridge is orderly in both directions.

“This delicate balance is upset when the market rate of interest falls below society’s ‘crystallized impatience.’ When the interest rate is higher than an individual’s time preference, he or she will save more for the future. Conversely, when the market rate is below the public’s time preference people borrow to consume. An abnormally low rate of interest boosts current spending, but the benefits don’t last. You cannot have your cake and eat it, at least not indefinitely. Cake is not the only item on the menu. People have a choice: jam today or more jam tomorrow. The rate of interest influences their decision.”

The problem isn’t just artificially low rates. Artificially high rates send wrong signals, too. The point is this process works only when it finds its own equilibrium. Outside interference—like that of central banks—distorts these intertemporal transactions.

It is important to remember that well past the middle of the last century the Federal Reserve concerned itself mainly with bank solvency, not interest rates. Greenspan was the first to realize that he could “juice” the markets and make everyone happy. It was the beginning of the current round of hubris."

Thursday 12 May 2022

Russian Soldiers Using SIM cards on the Ukrainian Network Reveal Troop Concentrations Exactly.


The information dates from the endof March.   Russian SIM cards inserted into stolen Ukrainian phones. Besides being out of date, this is complicated since there are areas where cell towers have been knocked down and it looks like the Crimea has a Russian cell service.  It also points to areas that are "captured" but are not controlled.  One commenter says the soldiers won't give up their phones to officers because the officers will steal them too.


 

Thursday 5 May 2022

To understand what Canadians believe about Covid and our Charter of Rights and Freedom, read what Russians think about attacking Ukrainians.

 This is painful reading.  The "Overton Window" to discuss the special operation in Ukraine doesn't overlap your own.   My Canadian and American neighbours are often comfortable in beliefs that don't match the reality I see and the evidence I note.    You don't have to read all the way through these poignant interview clips.  My only caveat is that the Russian interviewers confined themselves to fifty people in Moscow and one other Russian area (Kaluga) but other allied regioos of the former USSR are contributing material and men to the Ukraine adventure.

https://meduza.io/en/feature/2022/05/03/feeling-around-for-something-human

Wednesday 4 May 2022

Slow boat from China: Looks like you could walk ship to ship up the entire coast of China and never dip toes in the sea.

At a granular level, this shipping map is not so extremely bad.  Some vessels are in other ports with short turnarounds, some are steaming in and out and the area is always extraordinarily busy, but China's own goal on their economy is startling

If you were looking to put your loose money somewhere, would you be considering short supply chains closer to home for mining and manufacturing precursor industrial inputs?

SCOTUS Leak Timing

 Embrace the power of AND.

"The draft opinion was leaked to the press .. in an attempt to switch the vote before it was announced"

AND

"The historic leak from the Supreme Court has sucked all the oxygen from the premier release of an explosive documentary outlining the 2020 election fraud.  Many are seeing the timing as suspiciously strategic."

The document has dating from two months ago.  The clerk who stole the information and passed it to bigger players wasn't the one who set up the timing.  [ Politico: "the immediate impact of the ruling as drafted in February"]

Musk bought the evidence.

From a comment at thenewneo.com:

Musk didn't just buy Twitter
He bought the evidence.

BTW have you noticed that Musk hasn't bought Twitter?  The deal doesn't close for another five months but the hammer swings today.