Thursday, 7 May 2020

Don't trust the Imperial virus model. Don't trust the people who do.

"There would have been no harm if politicians had understood that models were educated guesses.
But a technically naive political and media class approached it with superstitious awe and
beguiled by the trappings
fell prostrate at it's feet"   Richard Fernandez  a.k.a.  wrechardthecat .

Such will keep happening.
The naive political and media class are beguiled by what advances their agenda.
That agenda is for our people tell other people what to do, for their own good. Profit thereby.

He continues:
"Undocumented equations, no bounds checking, side effects of ad hoc code unknown among other possible problems. They didn't fully understand what their own model was modeling. If true this is a far more serious problem than Ferguson having an affair, tantamount to relying on a ouija board to guide important decisions. It sounds like they had a poorly understood problem with state, reentrants and maybe race conditions. Basically the accusation is that Imperial's model is legacy code based on assumptions nobody understands and gives different results for the same inputs."




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