Friday, 11 March 2022

Sources for Ukraine-Russia information, Updates.

 Smallwarsjournal   Link has many sublinks to Twitter feeds you wouldn't otherwise see.

Cappy's army March 7th video has source clips on logistics and more with perspective and, oddly, humour.

Historical background on Russia from a retired Lithuanian intelligence officer.  Starts with the Holy Roman Empire, goes on to the Mongols (who never really left) and comes to the slivoki.  (English captions).


Understandingwar.org has daily updates re situation in the field.  What's distinctive are the many footnoted links to Army headquarters, Facebook and Twitter sites, Pravda, CNN and so on.  Most in cyrillic script.

The following six links are from this article at spinstrangenesscharm.wordpress.com

Kotkin's interview at the New Yorker:   Re Zelensky: "Having a TV-production company run a country is not a good idea in peacetime, but in wartime, when information war is one of your goals, it’s a fabulous thing to have in place."  On the expansion of NATO: "Way before NATO existed—in the nineteenth century—Russia looked like this: it had an autocrat. It had repression. It had militarism. It had suspicion of foreigners and the West. This is a Russia that we know, and it’s not a Russia that arrived yesterday"

Vlad Vexler on what it would take for a coup in Russia.  Who will get to harness the half of the 85% of Russians who are going along with present bumps in the road but are watching to see who is the stronger horse.  Also, the oligarchs had political power in the 90's but much less now and their children are a factor too.  There's a few seconds clip of a waffling secret service head being challenged by Putin to spell it out.

Kuzio interviewed on morale of Russian Army.  "Lied to, lack fire in the belly" and more.  Those videos of tanks destroyed are not just by civilians.  Ukrainian forces are taking brag shots and posting them on social media and sending them in to headquarters too.   Putin just created 45 million Ukrainian nationalists instead of freeing "russians" from nazi rule.   Hacking put Ukrainian propaganda on Russian TV that older folk wath.  Information overload will fuel future war crime trials.  What about reparations as a tax on future oil exports.  NATO is already at war with Ukraine, 28 countries in fact are supplying weapons that are killing Russian soldiers and giving cyber defence.  NATO is supplying intelligence allowing Ukrainians to kill Russian soldiers. (Note two senior Russian officers located and killed.)  A No Fly zone could also be over Western Ukraine only to stop the refugee flood, it could be sponsored by OSCE or UN instead of NATO.  "To this day, Russians don't really know where their borders are".  We're seeing a declining great power declining faster.  Think about it: You've watched videos of Ukrainian soldiers talking Russian to Russian soldiers.  Speaking Russian doesn't make you a Russian nationalist any more than a Canadian speaking English makes them American.  Russia is back to 1991.

China has a nuanced and changing position.  Trade with Russia is about 1/20th of trade with the US.  Corporate China may be playing a more influential role than Govermental China.

Captured Russian officer gives thoughtful observations on what he was told going into battle.

Fukuyama on Russia's coming defeat.  "Russian soldiers were evidently carrying dress uniforms for their victory parade in Kyiv rather than extra ammo and rations"


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